Isolated reports of Fianna Fail canvassing over the past week in Dublin and Limerick lead credence to the growing feeling that a Dail dissolution and a snap election is on the cards. Despite this, Paddy Power is now quoting 13/8 odds on a 2010 election, 7/4 on a 2011 and 2012 elections.

Here’s the history of selected Paddy Power’s year of election odds versus the Live Register figures for the end of 2008 through to 2010:

Not forgetting the banking crisis of September 2008, Budget 09 in December 2008, the Emergency Budget in April 2009 and the bite of negative equity throughout.

Paddy Power is also quoting the follow odds on the next minister to resign:

• 4/6    Mary Harney
• 11/4  Eamon O Cuiv
• 6/1    John Gormley
• 6/1    Noel Dempsey
• 16/1  Mary Coughlan
• 16/1  Brendan Smith
• 20/1  Brian Lenihan
• 33/1  Dermot Ahern
• 33/1  Michael Martin
• 33/1  Mary Hanafin
• 33/1  Eamon Ryan

Odds from Paddy Power, Live Register figures from the Central Statistics Office